Behavioral Finance Lecture 09: Modeling Endogenous Money

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In this lec­ture I con­tin­ue the devel­op­ment of the QED mod­el of a pure cred­it econ­o­my began in the last lec­ture, includ­ing mod­el­ling pro­duc­tion and devel­op­ing a pric­ing equa­tion to pro­duce a com­bined mon­e­tary-phys­i­cal mod­el. (see NOTE below if you can’t see this video in your brows­er)

Pow­er­point Slides (QED Files Free down­load; Debt­Watch Mem­bers: Part 1 Part 2; CfE­SI mem­bers: Part 1 Part 2)

Economics has met the enemy, and it is economics

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That is the title of a fea­ture in the Cana­di­an news­pa­per The Globe and Mail that a cor­re­spon­dent has just brought to my atten­tion. It’s not an earth-shat­ter­ing arti­cle, as my cor­re­spon­dent observed, but it is remark­able to see arti­cles like this turn­ing up in the main­stream media. The author Tra Basen observes at one point:

While the pro­test­ers occu­py­ing Wall Street are not car­ry­ing signs denounc­ing ratio­nal-expec­ta­tions and effi­cient-mar­ket mod­el­ling, per­haps they should be.

Eco­nom­ics has met the ene­my, and it is eco­nom­ics

Parallel monetary systems?

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One of my close research col­leagues Trond Andresen has writ­ten the fol­low­ing sys­tems engi­neer­ing analy­sis of how a par­al­lel non-debt-based mon­e­tary sys­tem might func­tion in an econ­o­my suf­fer­ing a debt-induced cri­sis in its main mon­e­tary sys­tems. I thought his analy­sis could be of inter­est to read­ers of this blog.

 

(This is a revised and expand­ed ver­sion of a paper pre­sent­ed and in the pro­ceed­ings of the 9th Soci­ety of Het­ero­dox Econ­o­mists Con­fer­ence, Decem­ber 6 and 7 2010, UNSW, Syd­ney.

An ear­li­er and short­er ver­sion appeared in Coun­ter­punch June 25 ? 27, 2010.)

Macroeconomics on a “Platypus Moment”

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Luci Ellis of the RBA recent­ly pre­sent­ed a paper on finan­cial reg­u­la­tion:

The Platypus Moment: Rents, Risks and the Right Responses

I haven’t had a chance to read it yet; that said, I like the cri­tique writ­ten by “Deep T” on the Mac­robusi­ness blog:

The Platypus blues

Renegade Economist Interview

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I was inter­viewed by the Rene­gade Econ­o­mist when I was in Eng­land recent­ly.

I can’t bet­ter the Rene­gade Econ­o­mist’s own expla­na­tion of their role and mem­ber­ship:

A Rene­gade Econ­o­mist is an indi­vid­ual who — through their actions — pos­i­tive­ly dis­rupts how we live, inter­act and do busi­ness.

Impos­si­ble to iden­ti­fy by demo­graph­ics, gen­der or back­ground the Rene­gade Econ­o­mist can­not be pigeon­holed by social sta­tus or mate­r­i­al trap­pings. These are peo­ple in every indus­try who have an over­rid­ing desire: to elim­i­nate the glar­ing dis­con­nect between who they are and what they do.

The Poolroom week ending 14th October 2011

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World Econ­o­my

Rep­re­sen­ta­tive in Chi­na, RBA, 30th Sept

The Reserve Bank of Aus­tralia is estab­lish­ing rep­re­sen­ta­tion in Chi­na. An office, locat­ed with­in the Aus­tralian Embassy in Bei­jing, will begin oper­a­tions in mid Octo­ber and will assist in the Bank’s ongo­ing mon­i­tor­ing of eco­nom­ic and finan­cial con­di­tions in Chi­na. It will also help build rela­tion­ships with var­i­ous gov­ern­ment agen­cies and pri­vate enti­ties.’

Be Afraid, The Econ­o­mist, 1st Oct

Unless politi­cians act more bold­ly, the world econ­o­my will keep head­ing towards a black hole.

Here we go again, The Econ­o­mist, 8th Oct

Behavioral Finance Lecture 08: Modeling Endogenous Money

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Lecture 8: Introduction to dynamic modeling. (Slides: CfESI Subscribers  Part 1Part 2; Debtwatch Subscribers Part 1 Part 2)

Explain­ing the “Mon­e­tary Cir­cuit The­o­ry” of cap­i­tal­ism. I show that the dilem­mas that hob­bled Cir­cuit The­o­ry for so long were sim­ple mis­takes in dynam­ic mod­el­ling, which reflect poor­ly not so much on Cir­cuit the­o­rists them­selves, but econ­o­mists in gen­er­al, since even non-ortho­dox econ­o­mists are locked into the sta­t­ic ways of think­ing they were taught by neo­clas­si­cal lec­tur­ers. This lec­ture gives a very brief intro­duc­tion to the basic ele­ments of dynam­ic modeling–differential equa­tions and sys­tems engineering–and begins explain­ing QED, the pro­to­type mon­e­tary dynam­ic mod­el­ing tool devel­oped by blog mem­ber Sir­ius.

Buying Debunking Economics II in the UK

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I’ve just been informed by Zed Books that there is an incor­rect link, either in my blog or the excel­lent George Mon­biot Guardian arti­cle which links to it:

It’s in all our inter­ests to under­stand how to stop anoth­er Great Depres­sion

for sales in the UK.

Zed’s sales rep­re­sen­ta­tive is Ruben Mootoosamy, and the best email for sales con­tacts is sales@zedbooks.net.

Debunking Economics II Launch Video

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I’ve final­ly had a fast enough inter­net link to upload the video to Youtube. I’ll add more detail lat­er when I get back to Syd­ney, but for now this will do.

There’s one tech­ni­cal glitch: the Gus­tav Tuck The­atre had a plas­ma screen rather than a data pro­jec­tor, and the refresh rate of the screen result­ed in a very bad flick­er on the video record­ing. How­ev­er the talks–by myself and Ann Pettifor–are easy enough to fol­low.

Signed copies of Debunking Economics II

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This is to every­one who has signed on to the blog at a lev­el that includ­ed receiv­ing a copy of Debunk­ing Eco­nom­ics II–whether eBook, paper­back or hard­cov­er:

In lieu of not get­ting the mechan­ics of this orga­nized in time to send copies out with the launch, I am going to send every­one a signed phys­i­cal copy of the book. eBooks are too new for send­ing of those to be fea­si­ble except in the USA–and the eBook isn’t avail­able yet any­way. The sig­na­ture is by way of rec­om­pense for not get­ting deliv­ery togeth­er in time.