Philip Pilkington: The New Monetarism Part I – The British Experience

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By Philip Pilkington, a writer and journalist based in Dublin, Ireland. You can follow him on Twitter at @pilkingtonphil

While there are pret­ty stark dis­sim­i­lar­i­ties between the cur­rent quan­ti­ta­tive eas­ing (QE) poli­cies of many gov­ern­ments and the old mon­e­tarism that pre­vailed in the late-70s and ear­ly-80s, the rea­son that these both poli­cies were inef­fec­tive is because they were based on the same flawed ideas. The key dif­fer­ence between the two is that where mon­e­tarism was imple­ment­ed as a defla­tion­ary and con­trac­tionary pol­i­cy, QE is cur­rent­ly being imple­ment­ed as an infla­tion­ary and expan­sion­ary pol­i­cy. As a result, exam­in­ing the fail­ure of mon­e­tarist poli­cies thir­ty years ago pro­vides impor­tant lessons con­sid­er­ing QE and its off­shoots.

Beware the rent-seeking organisation: don’t be dudded by housing data

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By Philip Soos

The Con­ser­va­tion

One of the more inter­est­ing out­comes the 2011 Cen­sus pro­duced was the fig­ures con­cern­ing the hous­ing mar­ket. The rea­son for this inter­est is how the results con­trast­ed with the idea that Aus­tralia cur­rent­ly suf­fers from an acute hous­ing under­sup­ply or short­age. Tak­ing the lead in pro­mot­ing this idea is the Nation­al Hous­ing Sup­ply Coun­cil (NHSC), an organ­i­sa­tion formed by the fed­er­al gov­ern­ment in May 2008 to pro­vide an in-depth analy­sis of the hous­ing mar­ket. The NHSC is wide­ly con­sid­ered to be the peak body in this field.

Mish & Steve Debate: Steve Says (I)

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I’ve just tak­en time-out from the pre-con­fer­ence social event at the Cen­tral Bank of Turkey annu­al con­fer­ence, and (as enjoy­able as that func­tion was) it’s lucky that I did: Mish Shed­lock has fol­lowed up on some crit­i­cisms of my “Mod­ern Debt Jubilee” pro­pos­al with a post on real solu­tions for the debt cri­sis. I will try to reply to Mish’s fol­low-up before I turn in for the night here in Cap­pado­cia.

Vision — Action — Leadership 2011 Conference

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Below is a video from the 2011 Inter­na­tion­al Con­fer­ence Vision, Action and Lead­er­ship, host­ed by Aaron Wiss­ner. The con­fer­ence used the Del­phi method was used to draw upon some com­mon­al­i­ties and dif­fer­ences around the inter­pre­ta­tion of the cur­rent finan­cial cri­sis from pan­el mem­bers, includ­ing Tom Gre­co, Steve Keen and Nic­hole Foss. This fin­ish­ing group inter­view shares an inter­est­ing per­spec­tive on the out­comes of this con­fer­enc­ing tech­nique.

A HELP debt bubble?

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By David Law­son

Click here for this data in Excel: Debt­watchCfE­SI

An issue that is often over looked here in Aus­tralia is the ris­ing cost of edu­ca­tion. Uni­ver­si­ty stu­dents are lib­er­at­ed from the up-front cost of edu­ca­tion through the Aus­tralian Gov­ern­ments High­er Edu­ca­tion Loan Pro­gram (HELP). While in oth­er coun­tries like the Unit­ed States the stu­dent loans mar­ket is pri­va­tised, which has con­tributed to their high­ly priced ter­tiary edu­ca­tion sys­tem. Though, after look­ing over the num­bers here in Aus­tralia it seems that the pub­lic cred­it fund­ing through HELP could be hav­ing the same infla­tion­ary effect on edu­ca­tion.

A Minsky Singularity

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Below is Steve’s recent inter­view on Cap­i­tal Account with Lau­ren Lyster that talks about the Debt Black Hole that economies around the world have unknow­ing­ly been sucked into. Steve dis­cuss­es the fun­da­men­tals of his unique analy­sis on using ris­ing debt lev­els to finance eco­nom­ic growth. A fan­tas­tic renewed per­spec­tive on the cur­rent finan­cial cri­sis!

China’s Concrete Bubble

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Chi­nese con­struc­tion keeps trend­ing down with Sany the worlds sixth largest heavy machin­ery mak­er report­ing a rise in prof­it of 5.4% in the same quar­ter as a blow out in receiv­ables of USD $1.39  bil­lion  and cash reserves falling by USD $535 mil­lion  . Sany is clear­ly book­ing prof­its on 100% financed machin­ery while pro­vid­ing zero trans­paren­cy on cred­it risk  and delin­quen­cy . If the GFC has taught the world any­thing. then 100% ‘no mon­ey down” ven­dor finance should ring alarm bells. This all start­ed about about 3 months ago when Zoom­lion start­ed to aggres­sive­ly financ­ing heavy machin­ery for any­one that want­ed to sign up

European Disunion and Endogenous Money

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Click here for this data in Excel: Debt­watchCfE­SI
Click here for this post in PDFDebt­watchCfE­SI

Steve Keen, Uni­ver­si­ty of West­ern Syd­ney
Matheus Gras­sel­li, Fields Insti­tute, Toron­to

It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trou­ble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” (Mark Twain)

Introduction

That the Euro has fall­en into cri­sis a mere decade after its intro­duc­tion is hard­ly sur­pris­ing. The intrin­sic prob­lems in its design were evi­dent to econ­o­mists as wide­ly sep­a­rat­ed intel­lec­tu­al­ly as Wynne God­ley and Mil­ton Fried­man. Writ­ing in 1992, God­ley observed that

A Galilean Gesture: Eating with Dr. Steve Keen

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My talk at the  Cana­di­an Cen­tre for Pol­i­cy Alter­na­tives was attend­ed by an inter­est­ing eclec­tic bunch, with pos­si­bly the most eclec­tic of all being Genevieve Tran, who pub­lish­es the “Mon­ey Big and Small” blog. She asked me about finan­cial lit­er­a­cy, I replied that the con­cept, like so much in eco­nom­ics, has been made non­sense of by neo­clas­si­cal econ­o­mists, and the con­ver­sa­tion con­tin­ued on from there.

This is her record of the evening. For more of Genevieve’s writ­ings, check out her blog (she warns me there’s an approach­ing “Galileo Plays Fris­bee” fol­lowup).

The Red Iceberg

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The Fall of the Com­mu­nist Dynasty and The Loot­ing of Chi­na touched on the wide­spread fraud that has become appar­ent, both in main­land and US list­ed Chi­nese com­pa­nies. I also showed that an extra­or­di­nary num­ber of the Com­mu­nist Par­ty and the mil­i­tary cadre  had mas­sive unex­plained wealth, with the Top 70 record­ing a net col­lec­tive worth of over $80 bil­lion. This week Bloomberg  was banned by the Chi­nese gov­ern­ment for report­ing the incom­ing pres­i­dents fam­i­lies assets at over $367M.

As Xi climbed the Com­mu­nist Par­ty ranks, his extend­ed fam­i­ly expand­ed their busi­ness inter­ests to include min­er­als, real estate and mobile-phone equip­ment, accord­ing to pub­lic doc­u­ments com­piled by Bloomberg.